Higher for Longer and Longer… and Maybe Longer

Higher for Longer and Longer… and Maybe Longer

Weekly Market Commentary The Federal Reserve surprised virtually no one when Fed officials unanimously voted to keep the fed funds rate unchanged at 5.25 – 5.50% on Wednesday. While it is the second time the Fed has punted on a rate hike this year (the last time was...
A Tricky Inflation Number

A Tricky Inflation Number

Weekly Market Commentary Progress on inflation won’t be in a straight line. That’s to be expected. Following two low readings in June and July, the number picked up in August. It wasn’t unusually concerning. But following a 0.2% monthly increase in the Consumer Price...
Rebounding Home Prices

Rebounding Home Prices

Weekly Market Commentary Mortgage rates soared last year, rising from nearly 3% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to as high as 7.08%, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly mortgage survey. Predictably, housing sales fell sharply last year, and there were plenty of...
Job Gains, Rising Unemployment Rate

Job Gains, Rising Unemployment Rate

Weekly Market Commentary It sounds like a contradiction. Jobs increased last month, but the unemployment rate also rose. What happened? Nonfarm payrolls rose by 187,000 in August, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), while the unemployment rate rose...
Treasury Yields Drift Higher

Treasury Yields Drift Higher

Weekly Market Commentary Recession talk earlier this year and a belief that the Federal Reserve was nearly finished hiking interest rates kept a lid on longer-term Treasury yields. That’s changed. Last Thursday, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.30%, according to...
Red-Hot Inflation Cools

Red-Hot Inflation Cools

Weekly Market Commentary Inflation has bedeviled consumers and investors for over a year. The Federal Reserve waited far too long in responding to high prices, and its abrupt reversal in 2022 pushed equities into a bear market. But the Fed’s kinder, gentler approach...