by Mark Chandik | Oct 12, 2026
Mortgage rates have moved sharply higher in recent months, creating a noticeable headwind for homebuyers and homeowners looking to refinance. While various factors may influence borrowing costs, Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year Treasury, have a direct impact...
by Mark Chandik | Oct 5, 2026
Released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), September’s nonfarm payroll report came in lighter than expected, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly inched higher. How did investors react? Favorably. The disappointing report reduced the odds of a late-October...
by Mark Chandik | Sep 28, 2026
“Bond Selloff Deepens After 30-Year Yield Hits Highest Level Since 2004,” declared Bloomberg News last week. CNBC echoed the sentiment with “10-Year Treasury Yield Rockets to 19-Year High.” What’s driving the recent rise in Treasury yields (bond prices and yields move...
by Mark Chandik | Sep 21, 2026
First, let’s clarify that any attempt to predict the Federal Reserve’s actions this week is, at best, an educated guess. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has struck a hawkish tone, and the odds of a quarter-point increase in the fed funds rate are 87%, according to the CME...
by Mark Chandik | Sep 15, 2026
First, let’s clarify that any attempt to predict the Federal Reserve’s actions this week is, at best, an educated guess. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has struck a hawkish tone, and the odds of a quarter-point increase in the fed funds rate are 87%, according to the CME...
