author avatar
Mark Chandik

May 28, 2024

Drifting Higher

Weekly Market Commentary

Stocks have been drifting higher for several weeks as investors search for a catalyst that could drive shares in either direction.

Interest rates can influence market direction, but there hasn’t been much news recently on the rate front.

Federal Reserve officials would like to gradually begin reducing interest rates, but inflation hasn’t cooperated since the new year began.

Consequently, the Federal Reserve is comfortable maintaining its key rate, the fed funds rate, at the current level as it seeks more clarity on potential price developments heading into and through the summer.

Meanwhile, the A.I. narrative hasn’t changed, and the economy is still expanding, although some recent indications suggest that growth may be slowing down.

However, there is not much to suggest that economic activity is about to stall.

In other words, modest economic growth and stable rates have underpinned stocks in a relatively dull rally that has the major indexes at or near all-time highs, according to MarketWatch.

In Memory of Their Valor

As we reflect on Memorial Day, we pause to honor the brave men and women who gave their lives to defend and serve America.

We honor their courage, dedication, and selflessness, which have ensured our freedom and protected our way of life.

  • Civil War – 620,000 – 750,000 on both sides
  • World War II – 405,399
  • World War I – 116,516
  • Vietnam War – 58,209
  • Korean War – 36.516
  • American Revolution – 25,000
  • War of 1812 – 20,000
  • Mexican-American War 1846 – 13.283
  • War on Terror – 7,078
  • Spanish-American War 1898 – 2,446 

Source: Statista.com. Estimates vary on the number of casualties in earlier conflicts.

author avatar
Mark Chandik

Reproduction Prohibited without Express Permission. Copyright FDP Wealth Management. All rights reserved. Advisory Services offered through FDP Wealth Management, LLC, a state Registered Investment Adviser and Valmark Advisers, Inc. a SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Securities offered through ValMark Securities, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. 130 Springside Drive, Suite 300, Akron, OH 44333-2431 800.765.5201 Prosperity Partners and FDP Wealth Management, LLC are separate entities from ValMark Securities, Inc. and Valmark Advisers, Inc. Prosperity Partners, FDP Wealth Management, LLC, ValMark Securities, Inc., Valmark Advisers Inc., and their representatives do not offer tax advice. You should consult your tax professional regarding your individual circumstances. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested directly in. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Indices are unmanaged and do not incur fees, one cannot directly invest in an index. You should consult your tax professional regarding your individual circumstances. This information is provided by Financial Jumble, LLC. Financial Jumble, LLC is a separate entity from ValMark Securities, Inc. and ValMark Advisers, Inc.

RELATED POSTS

The Fed Hikes Rates: What Investors Should Know

In his opening remarks in a speech last month at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s Economic Symposium, Fed Chief Kevin Warsh said, “(Event) planners have some recreation options lined up for later today.

A Hotter August CPI Builds Rate Hike Momentum

First, let’s clarify that any attempt to predict the Federal Reserve’s actions this week is, at best, an educated guess. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has struck a hawkish tone, and the odds of a quarter-point increase in the fed funds rate are 87%, according to the CME Group. It was 59% on September 4.

Behind the Jobs Report

On Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by a much greater-than-expected 162,000 jobs in August. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%.

Location Location Location

The graphic below compares the change in home prices, adjusted for inflation, for various US cities. For example, the average USA home price has topped inflation by 238% since 1948. Why has there been such a wide trajectory in prices, and why have they proven so persistent?

Rising Yields Faily to Derail Stocks

This year, the stock market has risen significantly. Lingering worries about oil prices, inflation, the war with Iran, and the possibility of an AI bubble haven’t subsided. But the economy is expanding, corporate profits have been strong, and the S&P 500 Index set a new high last week, according to the Wall Street Journal.