
Prosperity Partners Blog
The Fed Delivers a Long-Awaited Rate Cut
To virtually no one’s surprise, the Federal Reserve slashed the target on its key interest rate—the fed funds rate—at the conclusion of its meeting on Wednesday. The only question regarding the decision was whether the Fed would cut by a quarter point (25 basis points [bp]; 1 bp = 0.01%) or 50 bp. They opted for 25 bp and a new range of 4.00-4.25%.
Last CPI Tees Up Fed Rate Cut
The only thing that might have been standing in the way between the Federal Reserve and a rate cut this week was last Thursday’s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). While the inflation figures weren’t particularly soft, August’s data didn’t reflect a sharp rise in prices either, all but guaranteeing that the Fed will move at Wednesday’s meeting.
No Hire, No Fire Economy
For starters, the title is a simplified five-word summary of the labor market. Recall that last week, we explored the low level of layoffs. This week, we shift the focus to hiring trends. But first, let’s take a closer look at the numbers from the latest jobs report.
Initial Claims and Economic Signals: What Investors Watch
Initial claims for unemployment insurance measure the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time. The data is released weekly, making it one of the most up-to-date indicators of labor market conditions. It is a key economic indicator because it offers a real-time snapshot of the health of the labor market.
Heavy Data Week Offers Mixed Picture
Last week was packed with economic developments, as reports poured in from all directions. We saw the release of second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, the broadest measure of goods and services produced, alongside the July jobs report.
One Big Beautiful Bill and You
Signed into law on July 4, the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) Act introduces sweeping changes into the tax code that could influence how you plan for and pay your taxes. Given the depth and complexity of the new law, our review is not all-encompassing. But we’ll touch on some of the key provisions.
Tariffs Begin to Bite
At first glance, June’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reassuring. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the CPI rose 0.3% in June as expected, while the core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose a smaller-than-forecast 0.2%, per the Wall Street Journal.
Inside the Front Door of the Housing Market
Home sales have fallen sharply over the last three years, with sales near the levels we last saw in 2008, according to the National Association of Realtors. Yet, unlike in 2008, housing prices haven’t collapsed this time around.
A Quirky Jobs Report
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls rose 147,000 in June, topping the forecast of 110,000 (Wall Street Journal), while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in June from 4.2% in May. Private sector jobs rose a more muted 74,000.
9 Interesting Facts about the Declaration of Independence
As we get set to mark the 249th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence, it’s the perfect time to reflect on some fascinating details behind this iconic American document. Here are nine interesting facts to explore and enjoy!
The Fed Hits Snooze on Policy Moves
It came as no surprise that the Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark rate—the fed funds rate—at 4.25% to 4.50% during last Wednesday’s meeting. Despite the moderation in the rate of inflation, central bankers didn’t hint at any near-term cut in interest rates.
Tariffs MIA in Latest CPI; Renewed Geopolitical Instability
Inflation remained mild in May, showing little upward pressure. According to last week’s report from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose just 0.1% for the month, while the annual rate settled at 2.4%.