Not Even a Pivot with a Small ‘P’

Not Even a Pivot with a Small ‘P’

Weekly Market Commentary After four-straight 75 basis-point (bp, 1 bp = 0.01%) rate increases, the Federal Reserve downshifted and boosted its key rate, the fed funds rate, by 50 bp last week to 4.25 – 4.50%. But it didn’t muddy its hard-hitting anti-inflation...
A Nearly Perfect Recession Indicator Flashes Red

A Nearly Perfect Recession Indicator Flashes Red

Weekly Market Commentary The Federal Reserve, interest rates, and inflation have been big topics this year. Chatter about a possible recession has been part of the conversation, too. A few weeks ago, we looked at the enormous amount of stimulus cash that remains in...
Too Much Hiring

Too Much Hiring

Weekly Market Commentary Can there be too much hiring? Can job growth be too fast? It seems like an odd question. But following a better-than-expected jobs report on Friday and the initial negative reaction (shares pared losses and finished mixed), the question is...
A Big Pile of Cash on the Sidelines

A Big Pile of Cash on the Sidelines

Weekly Market Commentary Recession fears are rampant. Interest rates are up, which discourages spending, and housing, a leading economic indicator, has fallen into a steep recession. Reported on Friday, the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI), which is...
A Soft Inflation Reading Fuels a Strong Rally

A Soft Inflation Reading Fuels a Strong Rally

Weekly Market Commentary October’s slower-than-expected rise in the Consumer Price Index fueled a 5.53% rise in the S&P 500 Index on Thursday, which was the 15th-best trading day since 1953 when the 5-day trading week began, according to Bespoke. Why the huge...