At First Glance, Another Solid Jobs Report

At First Glance, Another Solid Jobs Report

Weekly Market Commentary The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that nonfarm payrolls rose a solid 206,000 in June, topping the consensus forecast offered by Bloomberg News of 190,000. However, first glances may not always leave the correct impression....
A Dysfunctional Housing Market

A Dysfunctional Housing Market

Weekly Market Commentary What happens when mortgage rates tumble below 3% and then spike above 7%? Unintended consequences are bound to play out. In hindsight, they aren’t difficult to spot. You’re a winner if you have no intention of moving and were lucky enough to...
Mixed Signals

Mixed Signals

Weekly Market Commentary Much has been made of the remarkable resilience of the American economy. Forecasters who confidently called for a recession in 2023 got it wrong. So far this year, the economy is generating new jobs, and the U.S. economy has yet to falter....
A Steady-as-She-Goes Fed and a Tame Inflation Report

A Steady-as-She-Goes Fed and a Tame Inflation Report

Weekly Market Commentary As expected, the Federal Reserve announced last Wednesday that it held its key rate, the fed funds rate, unchanged at 5.25 – 5.50%. The Fed left the door open to a cut in rates later in the year if inflation makes meaningful progress toward...
Strong Jobs Report, with a Caveat

Strong Jobs Report, with a Caveat

Weekly Market Commentary The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls in May rose 272,000, easily beating expectations of 190,000 per the Wall Street Journal. Over the past three years, nonfarm payrolls have usually topped expectations. That...