Signs of Softening

Signs of Softening

Weekly Market Commentary U.S. economic growth in the third quarter accelerated sharply, growing at an annual pace of 4.9%, according to last month’s report by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. But GDP (Gross Domestic Product) data are backward-looking. It’s a...
Soft Landing or Recession

Soft Landing or Recession

Weekly Market Commentary So far this year, forecasts for a recession or a soft landing have failed to materialize. What is a soft landing? Economic growth slows, the rate of inflation slows, but the economy stays out of a recession. In other words, the economy is not...
Breakneck Speed

Breakneck Speed

Weekly Market Commentary The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported last week that Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is the largest measure of goods and services for the economy, expanded at an annual pace of 4.9% in the third quarter. It’s the...
Disconnect

Disconnect

Weekly Market Commentary I recognize we’re getting a bit granular reviewing just one week of market action, but quickly, last week’s volatility was tied primarily to worries about rising bond yields amid a continued stream of strong economic data, not what’s happening...
Quantifying a Short Attack

Quantifying a Short Attack

Weekly Market Commentary When political or geopolitical events surface that may influence markets, analysts look at that event or events through a narrow prism—how might it affect investors? These might include an election, a debt-ceiling debate, a government...
A Hotter-for-Longer Economy

A Hotter-for-Longer Economy

Weekly Market Commentary September recorded an increase of 336,000 in payrolls, easily topping the estimate of 170,000, according to Dow Jones Newswires. The unemployment rate held steady at 3.8%. It is the latest economic report that is signaling economic momentum,...