A Murky Fed Message

A Murky Fed Message

“All hat and no cattle” is a traditional cowboy phrase—especially popular in Texas—describing someone who is basically a poser: plenty of talk, lots of sparkle, but little to back it up. It’s all talk and no action, and that’s the takeaway from Federal...
A Murky Fed Message

Social Security and You

The 2026 OASDI Trustees Report presents a sobering assessment of the financial outlook for Social Security. The trust fund that supports Social Security retirement benefits is projected to be depleted in the fourth quarter of 2032. At that point, ongoing revenue from...
Chips in Flux

Chips in Flux

Since the most recent market low at the end of March, semiconductors (microchips, commonly called chip stocks) have been a very popular trade. In less than three months, the PHLX Semiconductor Index has more than doubled—see Figure 1. Investors are expecting a...
Oil Has Given Back Gains, but Gasoline—Not So Much

Oil Has Given Back Gains, but Gasoline—Not So Much

Just before the start of the war, WTI crude oil traded at about $67 per barrel, according to MarketWatch. By last week, the price of oil had fallen to within about $1 of its pre-war price. However, the same can’t be said for the average U.S. price of regular gasoline,...
A Muddy Jobs Report

A Muddy Jobs Report

The recent pickup in job growth is welcome news for job seekers. But June’s jobs report left more questions than answers. Here’s why. Nonfarm payrolls rose by a smaller-than-expected 57,000 in June, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. In...
1776 to Today: Reflections on the Fourth of July

1776 to Today: Reflections on the Fourth of July

As the United States approaches the 250th anniversary of its founding—a milestone known as the Semiquincentennial—the Declaration of Independence remains as important as ever. The treasured document declared the 13 colonies’ independence from Great Britain. It...