Waiting on the Long Awaited Soft Landing

Waiting on the Long Awaited Soft Landing

Weekly Market Commentary Economists have been warning for quite some time that Fed rate hikes will slow economic growth. Whether it results in a soft landing, which is the preferred outcome for investors, or a hard landing (recession), the rate hikes would be expected...
To Measure Inflation, Let Me Count the Ways

To Measure Inflation, Let Me Count the Ways

Weekly Market Commentary Investors eagerly anticipate the government’s monthly release of the CPI (Consumer Price Index). Why? Inflation affects everyone, and investors are no exception. The Federal Reserve’s efforts to curb inflation led to a bear market in 2022....
Home Prices Defy Conventional Wisdom

Home Prices Defy Conventional Wisdom

Weekly Market Commentary Mortgage rates have soared, and home sales are down sharply. Conventional wisdom would suggest that prices should be down. But housing prices have defied expectations, rising to record heights and locking first-time buyers out of the market....
The Most Consequential Fed Meeting of the Year

The Most Consequential Fed Meeting of the Year

Weekly Market Commentary The meeting held by the Federal Reserve last week was the most consequential gathering of central bankers this year. The Fed held the fed funds rate at 5.25 – 5.50% as expected, but in so many words, the Fed pivoted on its rate stance. No...
Softer Inflation Raises Odds the Fed is Done

Softer Inflation Raises Odds the Fed is Done

Weekly Market Commentary The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unchanged in October from the prior month. It is up 3.2% from a year ago. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose 0.2%. The core...
Breakneck Speed

Breakneck Speed

Weekly Market Commentary The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported last week that Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is the largest measure of goods and services for the economy, expanded at an annual pace of 4.9% in the third quarter. It’s the...