Job Growth Blows Past Expectations

Job Growth Blows Past Expectations

Well, that was unexpected. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the economy added a whopping 254,000 jobs in September, about 100,000 more than economists surveyed by Bloomberg had projected. The unemployment rate, expected to hold steady at 4.2%, slipped...
A Fed Rate Cut and Your Mortgage Rate

A Fed Rate Cut and Your Mortgage Rate

A recent online advertisement from a major bank read, “The Fed just lowered interest rates. Could refinancing save you money?” There is an implicit assumption in the ad that the Fed’s half-percentage point rate reduction brought about a significant drop in mortgage...
Boom – Fed Opts for 50

Boom – Fed Opts for 50

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced a 50-basis point (bp, 1 bp = 0.01%) rate cut for the fed funds rate to 4.75 – 5.00%, its first reduction since 2020.  The announcement marks the end of the most aggressive rate-hike cycle since 1980 when the Fed funds rate...
A Green Light for the Fed – in Three Graphs

A Green Light for the Fed – in Three Graphs

All indications point to a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week. What’s behind the Fed’s rationale? Let’s look at three key metrics. Aided by lower gasoline prices and stable prices for consumer goods, the rate of inflation has slowed dramatically. Inflation has...
August Melt-Up Follows Brief Meltdown

August Melt-Up Follows Brief Meltdown

Market pullbacks are to be expected. They are incorporated into the financial plan. But like an unexpected traffic jam, they are exceedingly difficult to predict. Early August was one such event. The turbulence began at the end of July in the wake of seemingly minor...
Then and Now

Then and Now

Overbuilding, speculation, and easy access to credit encouraged a housing boom and a bust in the 2000s. Sales cratered later in the decade, and along with it, prices tumbled. Today, housing sales have plummeted once again. According to the National Association of...