The Blockbuster Year Few Expected

The Blockbuster Year Few Expected

Weekly Market Commentary A December 29th Wall Street Journal title summed the year up: What Did Wall Street Get Right About Markets This Year? Not Much. Back up to December 2022, when Moody’s Chief Economist Mark Zandi captured the most prevalent view at the time....
Home Prices Defy Conventional Wisdom

Home Prices Defy Conventional Wisdom

Weekly Market Commentary Mortgage rates have soared, and home sales are down sharply. Conventional wisdom would suggest that prices should be down. But housing prices have defied expectations, rising to record heights and locking first-time buyers out of the market....
The Most Consequential Fed Meeting of the Year

The Most Consequential Fed Meeting of the Year

Weekly Market Commentary The meeting held by the Federal Reserve last week was the most consequential gathering of central bankers this year. The Fed held the fed funds rate at 5.25 – 5.50% as expected, but in so many words, the Fed pivoted on its rate stance. No...
Jobs Report – Nothing New

Jobs Report – Nothing New

Weekly Market Commentary The latest jobs report did little to alter the economic outlook. Instead, it was a steady-as-she-goes report. Nonfarm payrolls grew by 199,000 in November, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). It was nearly in line with the...
Bond Reversal Powers November Advance

Bond Reversal Powers November Advance

Weekly Market Commentary Many things influence the direction of stocks. Corporate profits, economic growth, general market sentiment, inflation, and interest rates are among those variables. At any given point, the influence of various factors on stocks will...
Softer Inflation Raises Odds the Fed is Done

Softer Inflation Raises Odds the Fed is Done

Weekly Market Commentary The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unchanged in October from the prior month. It is up 3.2% from a year ago. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose 0.2%. The core...