Tariff Takedown

Tariff Takedown

Reciprocal tariffs were announced Wednesday afternoon. In most cases, they are far higher than expected and varied considerably. Vietnam at 46%, the European Union at 20%, China at 54% (20% existing + 34% reciprocal), and the United Kingdom at 10%, according to the...
31 Thoughts on Tariffs

31 Thoughts on Tariffs

Two days ago, the White House announced massive tariffs on virtually every other country. Here are a few thoughts, in no particular order and written with our best effort at restraint, on one of the largest tax hikes in U.S. history:   The odds of a recession are...
Manufacturing in Crisis

Manufacturing in Crisis

Over the past month, we have approached the issue of tariffs from the market’s perspective, specifically that of investors. Let’s take a different approach today. We’ll examine the issue from the perspective of domestic manufacturers and manufacturing workers....
Elevated Uncertainty, ‘Transitory’ Makes a Comeback

Elevated Uncertainty, ‘Transitory’ Makes a Comeback

The Federal Reserve held its key rate, the fed funds rate, at 4.25 – 4.50% as expected. But Fed officials downgraded the economic outlook for 2025 and raised its forecast for inflation (again) in its quarterly Summary of Economic Projections. Why was the...