Home Prices Defy Conventional Wisdom

Home Prices Defy Conventional Wisdom

Weekly Market Commentary Mortgage rates have soared, and home sales are down sharply. Conventional wisdom would suggest that prices should be down. But housing prices have defied expectations, rising to record heights and locking first-time buyers out of the market....
The Most Consequential Fed Meeting of the Year

The Most Consequential Fed Meeting of the Year

Weekly Market Commentary The meeting held by the Federal Reserve last week was the most consequential gathering of central bankers this year. The Fed held the fed funds rate at 5.25 – 5.50% as expected, but in so many words, the Fed pivoted on its rate stance. No...
Softer Inflation Raises Odds the Fed is Done

Softer Inflation Raises Odds the Fed is Done

Weekly Market Commentary The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unchanged in October from the prior month. It is up 3.2% from a year ago. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose 0.2%. The core...
Breakneck Speed

Breakneck Speed

Weekly Market Commentary The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported last week that Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is the largest measure of goods and services for the economy, expanded at an annual pace of 4.9% in the third quarter. It’s the...
Higher for Longer and Longer… and Maybe Longer

Higher for Longer and Longer… and Maybe Longer

Weekly Market Commentary The Federal Reserve surprised virtually no one when Fed officials unanimously voted to keep the fed funds rate unchanged at 5.25 – 5.50% on Wednesday. While it is the second time the Fed has punted on a rate hike this year (the last time was...
A Tricky Inflation Number

A Tricky Inflation Number

Weekly Market Commentary Progress on inflation won’t be in a straight line. That’s to be expected. Following two low readings in June and July, the number picked up in August. It wasn’t unusually concerning. But following a 0.2% monthly increase in the Consumer Price...